The Planet in Peril

mickysf replied on 08/10/2018 13:39

Posted on 08/10/2018 13:39

The very latest predictions paint a challenging future for us and our hobby. Some would suggest grim even whilst others suggest that with intervention and a change to our habits all is not lost. What changes to our leisure pursuits and lives do folk think will make that difference for our future generations?

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-45775309 

 

JohnM20 replied on 17/10/2018 10:42

Posted on 17/10/2018 10:42

With the best will in the world, our use of gas as a fuel will continue for the next few generations at least. I don't know the figure but my guess is that there is only a very small percentage of properties, both domestic and commercial, that doesn't use gas, primarily for heating. To change to some form of alternative heat source that doesn't use gas is a long, long way off. Just imagine the logistics of such a change. Every property would have to be converted in some way and, if it was a change to electric there just wouldn't be enough generating capacity to cope with the massive extra demand.

The answer is possibly to have even greater thermal efficiency of properties. This would reduce the amount of fuel needed, of whatever sort, to keep the places warm and water hot.

If we have got to use gas I personally would prefer a 'home grown' supply rather than it being imported. I don't know enough about fracking to claim it is either safe or unsafe and I guess very few of us, including most of the protestors do either. What I do know is that earthquakes, one of the anti fracking concerns, occur in Britain at the the average rate of approximately 1 every 2 days of varying magnitudes and locations. The latest of these was a magnitude of 2.8 at Fryup in North Yorkshire and was obviously nothing to do with fracking. I haven't heard any screams of horror that the walls are going to come tumbling down.

Hedgehurst replied on 17/10/2018 18:37

Posted on 16/10/2018 22:17 by Tinwheeler

"I've truly been trying to keep from making overtly political comments (!) but…"

 

……you’ve not succeeded!

Posted on 17/10/2018 18:37

Guilty as charged. Sorry - but not a lot!

I'm not being thus from loyalty to any party, however, just objecting to the way things are going, and I did blame previous gov'ts of both colours.

But an apology - I think I conflated the case of the jailed Fracking protesters (just successfully appealed and the sentence turned over) where the judge has family links to oil industry and fracking, with the gov't decision to go ahead. I don't think that was judicial. Apologies for misinformation.

 

Tinwheeler replied on 17/10/2018 18:42

Posted on 17/10/2018 18:37 by Hedgehurst

Guilty as charged. Sorry - but not a lot! I'm not being thus from loyalty to any party, however, just objecting to the way things are going, and I did blame previous gov'ts of both colours.

 

Posted on 17/10/2018 18:42

It’s not me you need to apologise to for breeching the guidelines. I’m surprised your post hasn’t been Deleted User. You’re lucky.

jennyc replied on 20/10/2018 05:35

Posted on 17/10/2018 10:42 by JohnM20

With the best will in the world, our use of gas as a fuel will continue for the next few generations at least. I don't know the figure but my guess is that there is only a very small percentage of properties, both domestic and commercial, that doesn't use gas, primarily for heating. To change to some form of alternative heat source that doesn't use gas is a long, long way off. Just imagine the logistics of such a change. Every property would have to be converted in some way and, if it was a change to electric there just wouldn't be enough generating capacity to cope with the massive extra demand.

The answer is possibly to have even greater thermal efficiency of properties. This would reduce the amount of fuel needed, of whatever sort, to keep the places warm and water hot.

If we have got to use gas I personally would prefer a 'home grown' supply rather than it being imported. I don't know enough about fracking to claim it is either safe or unsafe and I guess very few of us, including most of the protestors do either. What I do know is that earthquakes, one of the anti fracking concerns, occur in Britain at the the average rate of approximately 1 every 2 days of varying magnitudes and locations. The latest of these was a magnitude of 2.8 at Fryup in North Yorkshire and was obviously nothing to do with fracking. I haven't heard any screams of horror that the walls are going to come tumbling down.

Posted on 20/10/2018 05:35

To ignore scientific predictions regarding the very limited quantities of gas and oil remaining underground, predicting its use for generations to come, is simultaneously naive and technically correct. New fields of fossil fuels will undoubtedly be found. But for reasons of access and more expensive extraction, prices will rise. While consumers will initially shoulder this burden, over time, there will be a migration away from gas for domestic energy, with the last stalwarts being those least able to afford upgrades to electricity. With consumption reducing, our finite supplies of gas and oil will last longer than currently predicted. Converging with these changes will come state intervention to preserve dwindling supplies for use where alternatives aren’t practical, such as aviation. Electrically powered land transport, powered from renewable resources is likely to be our only choice. Domestic cooking will probably rely on electricity, while an increasing number of buildings, including housing estates will require centralised heat pumps. If you can’t visualise all of that extra pipe work spoiling our cities, take a trip to Dresden, where it’s a reality.

Cartledge replied on 20/10/2018 21:09

Posted on 20/10/2018 21:09

I suppose we shall all have to stop caravanning and motorhoming then.

With the dire performance of all electric vehicles, and the dire prospect of any improvement, there won't be anything powerful enough or with a reasonable range, powered purely by electricity, to carry on with our pastime. All other types of vehicle will be banned by our London based political lords and masters who have lots of public transport and who don't give a sh*t about those in the rest of the country. 

Is the Club setting up recharging points on its sites?

The techies really don't seem to have gone much further than the old milk float.

LeTouriste replied on 21/10/2018 16:24

Posted on 21/10/2018 16:24

I am also of the opinion that our planet goes through phases of warming and cooling.  But it cannot be ignored that we are polluting the planet with our waste.  This has gone on for years before it was recognised as an environmental threat.  Now that it has been exposed, much urgent work needs to be done to repair the damage.  I am not a "Green" - I just see the state of the planet as it truly is.

On the subject of how it may affect our future leisure pursuits; some aspects can be foreseen.  EVs will develop.  I can't see the prospects of towing large, or even medium sized, caravans, and I believe (although we are caravaners) that the smaller camper vans will become very popular.   There have been periodic warnings that we can look forward to electricity power cuts, so how this fits in with an immense rise in EVs can only suggest increased difficulties.  Campervans, and particularly heavier motorhomes, will need recharging at relatively short intervals. Peak holiday times could become a nightmare as more vehicles than there are charging points stack up at M-way services.  Will thousands of us go galloping through France as we do now?  Whatever happens will largely depend on the outcome of a three-cornered fight between government, the "Greens", and those who simply want to get on with their lives. CMC might even become MC.surprised

Kennine replied on 24/10/2018 11:16

Posted on 24/10/2018 11:16

The biggest threat to this Earth of ours is pollution of the sea, and the land.  That is what we should be concentrating on.  Urgently !!

The earth has natural cycles of heating up and cooling down and has had for billions of years ------  so stopping having BBQ's, Wood Burning Stoves, Driving Cars, using Ships and Aircraft as some of the PC obsessed lot are suggesting, will make absolutely no difference. 

If those people want to deny themselves those things, by all means carry on,---- but don't try and force others to do likewise. 

frown

Boff replied on 24/10/2018 16:35

Posted on 24/10/2018 16:35

Kenner’s I am interested what part of NASA’s evidence you found diffficult to understand?  I’m no rocket scientist but even I can see the concentration of Carbon dioxide is at unprecedentedly high levels and increasing.

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