JohnM20 replied on 05/03/2017 11:03
Posted on 05/03/2017 11:03
I must start by saying that I am not anti motorhome or anti motorhomer. If money was no object my choice would be to have both to use depending on the type of holiday I’m going on. Im not that rich but I am a bit confused by some figures and statements from the CMC.
The CC/CMC have stated that 40% of new members are motorhomers’ but in another statement on FB from a CMC spokesperson they say “A lot of people were not aware that we accept all types of outfits”. If this is so, how can they also claim that before the rebranding 40% of new members are motorhome owners particularly when official industry figures are considered?
Figures from the NCC state that in Britain there are 550,000 caravans and 205,000 motorhomes. This is a % ratio (in whole numbers) of 73% to 27%.. On this basis, the CC were already attracting more new MH members than the percentage of MH owners nationally. To my mind the reason given for the rebranding does not seem to be based on fact (Fake News??).
The same NCC figures show that in the 9 years from 2005 to 2014 registrations of new motorhomes (DVLA figures) showed an increase from 8,814 in 2005 to a peak of 11,646 in 2007 after which there was a rapid decline in sales to a low of 6,950 in 2011. This drop is attributed to “economic difficulties in the UK”. Since 2011 there has been a small increase in registrations.and by 2014 it was up to 8,733 but still way below the peak sales of 2007. No figures are yet available for subsequent years.
New caravan sales over the same period have shown a continued downward trend from the high in 2007 of 33,350 to a low in 2014 of 18,450 but with a small boost in 2010 to 21,800. Again, figures for subsequent years are not yet available.
The fall in sales of all types of units after 2007 was believed to be due to economic reasons according to the NCC. If post Brexit predictions are correct then I think we can see this reduction in sales happening again. A quote from a major exhibitor at the recent NEC exhibition was “ it was a very tough week”. This is perhaps indicative that the slump may have already started. Obviously most of those already owning either type of unit will continue to use them but this will not change any percentages of who uses what.
My personal belief is that if money becomes very tight for many people, it will reduce new sales of both types of units but it is not rocket science to understand that £20,00 for a caravan is easier to find than £50,000 for a motorhome.
This is just how I read and interpret the statements and figures. Perhaps someone else can put a different interpretation forward?
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JohnM20
Caravanner